Zenyatta continues in first, Life At Ten enters NTRA Poll

Horseracing Betting Lines

07/19/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - As the 2010 thoroughbred racing season enters the heart of the summer programs, Zenyatta remains the leader in the NTRA National Poll for week 20. The top 10 features one new addition with five- year-old mare Life At Ten.

Undefeated mare Zenyatta picked up one additional first-place vote in the latest tabulation. The six-year-old has 14 top votes and 179 points to put her six points ahead of Quality Road.

Quality Road dropped to 173 points with five first-place votes.

Zenyatta is expected to make her next start on August 7 at Del Mar in the Clement L. Hirsch, a race she has won the last two years.

Quality Road will also make his next start on August 7 in the Whitney Handicap at Saratoga Race Course.

The next four spots are unchanged from the last poll: Blame (127), Rachel Alexandra (118), Lookin At Lucky (101) and Gio Ponti (66).

Tuscan Evening, off a win in the Modesty Handicap, jumps from 10th to seventh with 57 points. The five-year-old mare is perfect this year in six starts.

Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver is eighth with 41 points and will make his next start in the Haskell Invitational on August 1 at Monmouth Park.

Three-year-old filly Blind Luck holds in ninth with 39 points.

Breaking into the top 10 is five-year-old mare Life At Ten off her weekend victory in the Delaware Handicap. Life At Ten garnered 30 points after Saturday's win.

Wwwezscores Horseracing Betting News

<< NL West: Injuries piling up in LA
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Imagine the San Diego Padres trying to stay atop the NL West standings without Adrian Gonzalez, Chase Headley and Yorvit Torrealba. The Los Angeles Dodgers would certainly enjoy seeing that happen, but they're the one

<< Hurricanes sign C Nash
Raleigh, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Carolina Hurricanes have signed center Riley Nash to a three-year, entry-level contract. The deal will pay Nash $550,000 in 2010-11, $600,000 in 2011-12 and $700,000 in 2012-13 at the NHL level. H

<< Wrong year for Life At Ten to be so good
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When the two leading thoroughbreds in training are also the top female racehorses in the country, it becomes difficult for any other filly or mare to get recognized. This is the situation that confronts fi

<< Celtics re-sign Nate Robinson
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Celtics have re-signed guard Nate Robinson. Terms of the deal were not released, but the Boston Herald reported last week that the diminutive guard agreed to a two-year, $8 million pact. Bosto

<< Padres extend manager Black's contract
San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Diego Padres announced Monday that they have extended manager Bud Black's contract through the 2013 season with club options for the 2014 and 2015 campaigns. "I am really happy to announce that

Cho named new Blazers general manager >>
Portland, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Portland Trail Blazers have named Rich Cho as the team's new general manager. No financial terms of the deal were announced. Cho had spent the past nine seasons as assistant GM of the Seattle

Arena fills out MLS All-Star roster >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - MLS commissioner Don Garber and MLS All-Star Team head coach Bruce Arena of the Los Angeles Galaxy made their selections to complete the 23-man 2010 MLS All-Star roster on Monday. The MLS All-Stars will take

Miyazato replaces Kerr as women's No. 1 >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ai Miyazato has replaced Cristie Kerr atop the world rankings for women's golf. The two players are just about tied, with Miyazato holding a lead of 0.0006 average points over Kerr. Kerr snatched t

Rays sign OF Baldelli to minor league deal >>
St. Petersburg, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tampa Bay Rays signed veteran outfielder Rocco Baldelli to a minor league contract on Monday and assigned him to Single-A Charlotte. The 28-year-old was taken with the sixth overall pick b

Galarraga rejoins Tigers >>
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Tigers have recalled pitcher Armando Galarraga from Triple-A Toledo. The right-hander was sent to the minor leagues on July 7 following his start the day before against Baltimore, when he

Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.