Cards fly in to Washington for battle of early unbeatens

Football Betting Lines

09/16/2011 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Both the Washington Redskins and Arizona Cardinals finished well out of the NFC playoff race last season, but one of these 2010 also-rans will find itself in an excellent early position following Sunday's clash between the teams at FedEx Field.

These two participants combined for just 11 wins in thoroughly disappointing 2010 campaigns, but each kicked off this new season on very positive notes last Sunday, with the Redskins vanquishing the NFC East-rival New York Giants by a 28-14 count at home and the Cardinals holding off a young and determined Carolina squad in a 28-21 thriller at University of Phoenix Stadium.

Strong play under center was a key element in those two victories, not to mention a liability for both clubs during last year's downturn. Washington quarterback Rex Grossman, having emerged the winner in a closely-contested camp battle with John Beck, rewarded head coach Mike Shanahan's faith by shredding a depleted Giants defense for 305 yards and two touchdowns last week, while Kevin Kolb's highly-anticipated official Arizona debut turned out to be a smashing success after the ex-Philadelphia Eagle piled up 309 yards and a pair of scores on only 18 completions against the Panthers.

The Cardinals traded away well-regarded cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie as well as a second-round choice in the 2012 draft to acquire Kolb's services and shore up a major problem area during last year's 5-11 finish. Arizona quarterbacks averaged a meager 182.6 yards per game through the air in 2010, the second-lowest figure in the NFL, and the group's 60.5 passer rating was also ranked 31st in the league.

Washington was also often ineffective at the position while winning just six times in Shanahan's first year in charge, with Grossman replacing an erratic Donovan McNabb for the final three games in one of the most controversial moves of a season filled with turbulent moments.

The atmosphere appears to be significantly more harmonious for this year's Redskins, who will be seeking the franchise's first 2-0 start since 2007, the same year the Burgundy and Gold last reached the playoffs.

Arizona, meanwhile, will be attempting to win its initial two outings for the first time since its memorable 2008 season, which culminated in the organization's first and only Super Bowl appearance. Reaching that goal will require the Cardinals to defy recent trends, however, as the team has traditionally struggled when visiting the East Coast for early kickoffs and hasn't fared well in trips to Washington over the years.

The Cardinals have left with a loss in each of their last six visits to Landover and haven't won at FedEx Field since a 45-42 decision on Nov. 22, 1998.

Arizona may need a shootout to come on top in this contest as well, as its young secondary was torched for an eye-opening 422 yards by Panthers' rookie Cam Newton last Sunday in the 2011 No. 1 overall pick's first career start.

Kolb was part of two noteworthy trades made by the Cardinals during the offseason, with the team also shipping running back Tim Hightower to the Redskins in late July in exchange for veteran defensive end Vonnie Holliday and a future sixth-round draft choice. The fourth-year pro has emerged as Washington's primary ball-carrier and is coming off a 72-yard, 25-attempt output against the Giants that included a touchdown.

SERIES HISTORY

The Redskins hold a 73-44-2 advantage over the Cardinals in a series that dates back to the 1932 season, when the then-Chicago Cardinals first faced the then- Boston Braves. Washington has had the upper hand as of late, winning seven straight times against Arizona that included a 24-17 decision at FedEx Field in 2008. As previously noted, the Cardinals have been dealt six consecutive losses on the road in this set, and last defeated Washington via a 16-15 verdict at Sun Devil Stadium on Nov. 5, 2000.

These two franchises faced one another biannually as members of the NFC East from 1970-2001, but have never met in the postseason despite their longtime history.

Shanahan owns a 4-0 lifetime record against Arizona, with all of those wins taking place during his 14-year tenure with the Denver Broncos from 1995-2008. Arizona's Ken Whisenhunt, a former tight end for the Redskins from 1989-90, is 0-2 against his former team and will be opposing Shanahan for the first time.

WHEN THE CARDINALS HAVE THE BALL

While it may have come against a Carolina team that managed just two wins a year ago, the balance the Cardinals showed on offense in the opener was a very encouraging sight for Whisenhunt. The team got a solid performance from running back Beanie Wells, with the oft-injured third-year pro churning out 90 rushing yards and a touchdown on 18 attempts, while Kolb (309 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 INT) was able to connect on several big plays in a dazzling regular-season intro as a Cardinal. The offseason addition hooked up with slot receiver Early Doucet (3 receptions, 105 yards) for a 70-yard game-tying touchdown early in the fourth quarter, and found tight end Jeff King (2 receptions, 61 yards) for a 48-yard score earlier in the day. Those two are part of a suddenly-formidable Arizona receiving corps that's still headlined by perennial Pro Bowler Larry Fitzgerald (3 receptions, 62 yards), but brought in quality veteran depth with the over-the-summer signing of accomplished tight end Todd Heap (2 receptions, 40 yards). The Cardinals compiled 394 total yards against the Panthers, a nice upgrade over the lackluster 269.3 yards per game (31st overall) the offense averaged in 2010.

While Kolb's insertion has made Arizona an improved team on offense, a Washington defense that underwent a major offseason renovation displayed notable progress in its first outing of 2011. The Redskins were tough against the run last week, with inside linebackers London Fletcher (8 tackles) and Rocky McIntosh (7 tackles) leading a cast that held the Giants' backfield duo of Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs to just 73 yards on 19 carries, while rookies Ryan Kerrigan (5 tackles, 1 INT) and Chris Neild (4 tackles) each made an immediate impact in their first pro games. Kerrigan, the Redskins' first- round selection in last April's draft, intercepted New York's Eli Manning and returned the pick for a tie-breaking touchdown early in the second half, while seventh-rounder Neild came up with two of Washington's four sacks. They're one of a host of newcomers to a unit that ranked 31st in both total defense (389.3 ypg) and against the pass (261.7 ypg), a list that also includes linemen Barry Cofield and Stephen Bowen (2 tackles, 1 sack), safety Oshiomogho Atogwe (4 tackles) and cornerback Josh Wilson (5 tackles). The defense will be without one key member for a second straight week, with hard-hitting strong safety LaRon Landry still recovering from hamstring and Achilles' injuries.

WHEN THE REDSKINS HAVE THE BALL

Though Grossman's nine-year career has been wrought with inconsistency, the "Good Rex" certainly showed up in last Sunday's big divisional win, with the veteran showing excellent accuracy and decision-making in completing 21-of-34 passes for 305 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. The Redskins appear to have also done a good job adding talent at the skill positions, with veteran Jabar Gaffney (3 receptions, 1 TD) acquired in a trade with Denver to provide a capable complement to leading receiver Santana Moss (6 receptions, 76 yards) and the versatile Hightower (72 rushing yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions) quickly proving to be a good fit as the new feature back in Shanahan's offense. Washington still has tight end Chris Cooley (2 receptions) around as well, though the two-time Pro Bowl selection has been slowed by a lingering knee injury and taken a back seat to the younger and more athletic Fred Davis in the game plan. The latter made his mark in this past week's victory, hauling in five of his six targets for a team and career-high 105 yards. The Redskins were also impressive in the red zone in the opener, scoring touchdowns on three of their four trips inside the Giants' 20-yard line.

Arizona's defense delivered mixed results in its first foray of 2011. The Cardinals were able to slow down a usually-strong Carolina ground attack, limiting the dangerous combo of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart to a harmless 56 yards on 19 attempts, while sacking Newton four times on the afternoon. A secondary that's starting a pair of neophytes, rookie Patrick Peterson (5 tackles) and former practice-squad member A.J. Jefferson (4 tackles), at the cornerback positions was burned for several long gainers, however, with the Panthers averaging nearly 18 yards per catch and veteran safety Kerry Rhodes (7 tackles, 1 sack) blowing a coverage that resulted in a 77-yard touchdown in the first quarter. Peterson, the fifth overall pick in this past year's draft, underwent a baptism by fire as well, though the promising youngster did come up huge with an 89-yard punt return midway through the fourth quarter that accounted for the winning points. Second-year linebacker Daryl Washington was the defensive star in the opener, amassing seven tackles, a sack and an interception of Newton, but injured his calf during the calf and is a question mark for Sunday's tilt.

KEYS TO THE GAME

Keep it up. Both Grossman and Kolb were outstanding in Week 1, routinely finding and hitting open receivers while keeping their mistakes to a minimum. Neither quarterback has a long track record of consistency, though, and if either reverts back to some of his old habits of the past, he'll be putting his team in a precarious position. Each appears to have an opportunity to perform well once again this week, however, as Arizona's defense was lit up by a raw rookie last Sunday and the Washington secondary showed some holes as well against the Giants.

Big plays. The Cardinals were able to prevail last week on the strength of three game-changing moments -- Kolb's long touchdown passes to Doucet and King and Peterson's critical punt return. With Arizona's defense still a work in progress, getting more explosion from the offense and special teams would be a big boost.

Wake up. Arizona's history in these conditions isn't good. In the team's two 1 p.m. (et) starts on the East Coast last season, it was dealt a 34-point loss by Atlanta and was bested by the lowly Panthers. Three years ago, when the Cardinals ultimately went to the Super Bowl, they lost five times in the Eastern Time Zone during the regular season by an average margin of 20 points.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

The Redskins better passed the early eye test among these two teams, as their victory over a reasonably sound Giants group coming off a 10-win campaign was considerably more impressive than the Cardinals having to scratch and claw their way past a rebuilding Carolina squad that went 2-14 a year ago. Washington's defense also looked like the better of the two outfits, and when adding in Arizona's troubling trend of flopping in early kickoffs on cross- country excursions, the home team seems to be the safer choice here.

Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Redskins 31, Cardinals 20

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El Duque expected to throw Tuesday

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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